Exploring Complexity Ep. 2
Why the world feels more complex—and why that feels hard. Why more problems are complex problems. Why organizations struggle with complexity.
In 2016, AI experts predicted radiologists would be obsolete within years as machines outperform humans. This did not transpire.
Key Points:
In 2016, Geoffrey Hinton, a pioneer in deep learning, claimed, "We should stop training radiologists now, it's just completely obvious within five years deep learning is going to do better than radiologists". Similarly, in 2017, Vinod Khosla, a prominent venture capitalist, asserted that "the role of the radiologist will be obsolete in five years".
Radiology, it seemed, was destined for obsolescence, with artificial intelligence taking over the reins by 2020. Machines, according to Oxford economists, would replace doctors as many tasks within professional work were deemed routine and process-based, lacking the necessity for judgment, creativity, or empathy.
Yet, these predictions from technology visionaries failed to materialize. What led to their glaring misjudgment? And, more broadly, what can we learn about AI-driven human obsolescence?
The Artificiality Weekend Briefing: About AI, Not Written by AI